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Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?

Polymarket Galaxyus-politicsActiveWhales BULLISH(31)
Volume
313K
Traders
464
Trades
3,567
Last trade
1 day ago
first 12 days ago
50¢Yes11¢all
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volume
Avg Holder WR55%9 high-WR traders
Smart FlowSELLbuyers 54% vs sellers 56% WR
Whale Flow
BULLISH31 whales · 126.8K vol
BUY 100.4K
SELL 26.4K
Buy side
79%
Sell side
21%
Order Flow
Buys
79% · 2,464
250.8K
Sells
21% · 1,103
67.7K
Pricesnapshot 1s agoDepth
29.5¢spread 1.0¢
Buy impact
$10030.0¢+0.0
$50030.0¢+0.0
$1K30.5¢+0.5

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About this market

464 whale wallets have traded "Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by 4–8%?" on Polymarket, moving $313K in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 3,567 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 79% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to balthazar at $19K. CrowdIntel has flagged 20 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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