What does whale sentiment say about "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?"?

Whale buy-side volume is 68% of total traded volume on this market ($702K buys vs $336K sells). This reflects capital flow, not final odds.

How does CrowdIntel detect insider trading on Polymarket?

A gated 0–100 insider score — a trade only scores if the wallet bought an outcome the market priced at 35c or below. Past that gate, seven components set the number: entry-depth tier, wallet skill z-score and fresh-wallet concentration, against four penalties for bot behaviour, negative PnL, oversized funding clusters and infrastructure funders. Weights are fit to measured edge — win rate minus entry price — across roughly 6,800 resolved alerts, not hand-tuned. Signals that measured negative on resolved outcomes, including bet size, market category and timing clusters, were removed rather than down-weighted. Trades scoring ≥65 are flagged as potential insider activity.

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Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?

View on Polymarket us-politicsActiveWhales BULLISH(81)

Volume

$1,037,471

Total Bets

6533

Unique Traders

892

Avg Price

54c

Buy / Sell

73%/27%

Alerts

Volume Sentiment

YES 701.5K

NO 336K

Smart Money Intelligence

Whale Sentiment

BULLISH

81 whales

Whale Volume

531.4K

YES 69% / NO 31%

Avg Holder WR

70%

20 with data

First trade: about 1 month agoLast: about 1 hour ago

Top Holders (Yes)

1AG

AgricultureSecretarywhale

$48,24291% WR+$691,731

2SN

Snow-White

$29,75865% WR+$37,256

30X

0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29whale

$28,15376% WR+$173,422

4AE

aenews2whale

$24,32865% WR+$2,272,834

5BA

bahibahibahiwhale

$22,57866% WR+$787,292

6MI

MisTKywhale

$21,25269% WR+$295,316

7PA

paddaawhale

$20,68151% WR+$210,916

8WI

Wickierwhale

$18,39555% WR+$1,281,507

9LO

Lolakiswhale

$17,35345% WR+$63,866

10ZB

zb8

$15,59361% WR+$401,830

Top Holders (No)

1AG

AgricultureSecretarywhale

$26,70491% WR+$691,731

20X

0x7c3b272918206068F4f989567D7F042Ac0bc0CAD-1782647837772

$22,402100% WR-$12,604

3PA

paddaawhale

$22,04351% WR+$210,916

4MI

MisTKywhale

$20,46669% WR+$295,316

5LO

Lolakiswhale

$16,97545% WR+$63,866

0x7131cB618fb195C70E8e629C45199096833C29whale

$15,78676% WR+$173,422

8TH

thereallkanyewest

$12,95696% WR-$21,623

9SN

Snow-White

$12,54865% WR+$37,256

10LF

LFC8whale

$10,35465% WR+$7,215

WalletScoreSideSizeWhen

0x22db…190f

MED 40NO$475about 2 hours ago

0xed10…d2e5

HIGH 65NO$9,930about 2 hours ago

0x7131…29cc

HIGH 65NO$9,721about 2 hours ago

0xed10…d2e5

HIGH 55NO$238about 2 hours ago

0x7131…29cc

HIGH 55NO$2,130about 2 hours ago

0x7131…29cc

HIGH 55NO$580about 2 hours ago

0x7e31…454d

MED 45NO$1,978about 5 hours ago

0xe397…bfcb

MED 40NO$199about 5 hours ago

0x3caf…6d8a

HIGH 50NO$314about 5 hours ago

0x7b84…a13e

MED 45NO$101about 5 hours ago

0x7e31…454d

MED 45NO$1,962about 5 hours ago

0x35bb…009b

MED 40NO$978about 6 hours ago

0x7131…29cc

HIGH 55NO$2,272about 7 hours ago

0x7e31…454d

MED 45NO$1,315about 7 hours ago

0x3caf…6d8a

HIGH 50NO$209about 7 hours ago

0x3caf…6d8a

HIGH 50NO$278about 7 hours ago

0x3caf…6d8a

HIGH 50NO$197about 7 hours ago

0x7b84…a13e

MED 45NO$111about 8 hours ago

0x7e30…1e50

HIGH 55NO$111about 8 hours ago

0x9f83…6cd9

HIGH 55NO$980about 8 hours ago

0x3caf…6d8a

HIGH 50NO$245about 8 hours ago

0xa8c6…44e8

MED 40NO$717about 8 hours ago

0x7e30…1e50

HIGH 55NO$543about 8 hours ago

0x3caf…6d8a

HIGH 50NO$434about 8 hours ago

0xa8c6…44e8

MED 40NO$476about 8 hours ago

0x0b13…5957insider

MED 25YES$312about 10 hours ago

0xa9ac…c5d1insider

MED 25YES$1501 day ago

0x33e2…3a1binsider

HIGH 60YES$2101 day ago

0x2bcd…cbfbinsider

MED 25NO$1151 day ago

0x9a3f…914ainsider

HIGH 50YES$5261 day ago

0x24c8…23e1insider

MED 25YES$2701 day ago

0xb100…6461insider

MED 40YES$4451 day ago

0x3a23…0f72insider

MED 40YES$1111 day ago

0xbad2…5296insider

MED 40NO$1361 day ago

0xbd04…fbb0insider

MED 25NO$1,0661 day ago

0xef9f…8924insider

MED 20NO$2031 day ago

0xe25b…0f1binsider

MED 25NO$6781 day ago

0x35bb…009binsider

MED 25NO$1371 day ago

0x215a…254cinsider

MED 40NO$1041 day ago

0xf457…ac4einsider

MED 35NO$1,0641 day ago

0x407d…1baeinsider

MED 40NO$1901 day ago

0x11f3…d859insider

MED 40NO$1401 day ago

0xc7d0…1f8ainsider

MED 35NO$3821 day ago

0xac4a…bf1einsider

MED 25NO$1151 day ago

WalletSidePriceSizeTime

0x3ecc…1d30NO99¢$337about 1 hour ago

0x8931…a90cNO99¢$337about 1 hour ago

0xc4a7…898aNO99¢$23about 1 hour ago

0x8931…a90cNO99¢$23about 1 hour ago

0xc4a7…898aNO99¢$21about 2 hours ago

0x22db…190fNO99¢$475about 2 hours ago

0xece1…da74YES1¢$4about 2 hours ago

0x7131…29ccNO99¢$27about 2 hours ago

0x3d05…acdeYES1¢$0about 2 hours ago

0xc4a7…898aNO99¢$36about 2 hours ago

0x5822…8774YES1¢$1about 2 hours ago

0x45e1…5934YES1¢$2about 2 hours ago

0xece1…da74YES1¢$3about 2 hours ago

0xece1…da74YES1¢$1about 2 hours ago

0xc4a7…898aNO99¢$184about 2 hours ago

0x7131…29ccNO99¢$25about 2 hours ago

0x2167…5dedNO99¢$25about 2 hours ago

0x7131…29ccNO99¢$1about 2 hours ago

0xff09…25abNO99¢$1about 2 hours ago

0xdbb8…f7deYES1¢$0about 2 hours ago

About this market

892 whale wallets have traded "Will Donald Trump publicly insult Vladimir Putin by July 31, 2026?" on Polymarket, moving $1.04M in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 6533 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 68% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to AgricultureSecretary at $48K. CrowdIntel has flagged 44 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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