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Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?

Polymarket GalaxygeopoliticsActiveWhales NEUTRAL(7)
Volume
2.4M
Traders
3,384
Trades
22,114
Last trade
about 3 hours ago
first 6 months ago
75¢Yes25¢all
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volumeinsider alertwhale alert
Avg Holder WR33%8 high-WR traders
Smart FlowBUYbuyers 35% vs sellers 32% WR
Whale Flow
NEUTRAL7 whales · 12K vol
BUY 5.2K
SELL 6.8K
Buy side
43%
Sell side
57%
Order Flow
Buys
54% · 12,103
854.8K
Sells
46% · 10,011
738.7K
Pricesnapshot 0s agoDepth
0.5¢spread 0.1¢
Buy impact
$1000.9¢+0.4
$5002.9¢+2.4
$1K4.3¢+3.8

CrowdIntel is read-only intelligence — orders execute on Polymarket.

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About this market

3,384 whale wallets have traded "Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?" on Polymarket, moving $2.44M in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 22,114 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 54% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to 0xa642…b419 at $65K. CrowdIntel has flagged 32 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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