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Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Polymarket GalaxygeopoliticsActiveWhales BULLISH(20)Sharps BUY · crowd SELL
Volume
25.7M
Traders
907
Trades
376,773
Last trade
about 4 hours ago
first about 1 year ago
50¢Yes46¢all
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volumeinsider alertwhale alert
Proven Money
≥20 resolved · ≥70% adj WR · +PnL
Avg Holder WR64%13 high-WR traders
Smart FlowBUYbuyers 72% vs sellers 57% WR
Whale Flow
BULLISH20 whales · 234.6K vol
BUY 141.3K
SELL 93.3K
Buy side
60%
Sell side
40%
Order Flow
Buys
43% · 192,513
309.2K
Sells
57% · 184,260
402.7K
Pricesnapshot 0s agoDepth
4.0¢spread 0.1¢
Buy impact
$1004.0¢+0.0
$5004.0¢+0.0
$1K4.0¢+0.0

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About this market

907 whale wallets have traded "Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?" on Polymarket, moving $25.74M in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 376,773 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 43% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to Avamax at $64K. CrowdIntel has flagged 34 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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