Question 1

Who is betting on "US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?" on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

9338 unique whale wallets have placed 40376 trades on "US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?", moving $983K in total volume. CrowdIntel tracks each trader's win rate, PnL and funding trail.

Question 2

What does whale sentiment say about "US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?"?

Accepted Answer

Whale buy-side volume is 50% of total traded volume on this market ($495K buys vs $487K sells). This reflects capital flow, not final odds.

Question 3

How does CrowdIntel detect insider trading on Polymarket?

Accepted Answer

CrowdIntel scores every trade across 8 signal categories (bet size, odds extremity, funding cluster, timing cluster, wallet win rate, bet concentration, market category, investigation reputation). Trades scoring ≥65 are flagged as potential insider activity.