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US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?

Polymarket GalaxygeopoliticsActiveWhales BULLISH(55)Sharps SELL · crowd BUY
Volume
331.4K
Traders
1,090
Trades
5,466
Last trade
about 2 hours ago
first 4 days ago
50¢Yes9¢all
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volumeinsider alertwhale alert
Proven Money
≥20 resolved · ≥70% adj WR · +PnL
Avg Holder WR54%13 high-WR traders
Smart FlowSELLbuyers 49% vs sellers 58% WR
Whale Flow
BULLISH55 whales · 124.2K vol
BUY 83K
SELL 41.2K
Buy side
67%
Sell side
33%
Order Flow
Buys
71% · 3,963
235.4K
Sells
29% · 1,503
96.8K
Pricesnapshot 0s agoDepth
30.5¢spread 1.0¢
Buy impact
$10031.7¢+0.7
$50032.2¢+1.2
$1K32.6¢+1.6

CrowdIntel is read-only intelligence — orders execute on Polymarket.

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About this market

1,090 whale wallets have traded "US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?" on Polymarket, moving $331K in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 5,466 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 71% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to MisTKy at $15K. CrowdIntel has flagged 32 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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