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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket GalaxygeopoliticsActiveWhales BULLISH(45)Sharps SELL · crowd BUY
Volume
766.4K
Traders
1,156
Trades
8,139
Last trade
about 3 hours ago
first 4 months ago
69¢Yes18¢all
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volumeinsider alertwhale alert
Proven Money
≥20 resolved · ≥70% adj WR · +PnL
Lean NO1 proven wallet · 379.9 buys
YES 0%
NO 100%
Avg Holder WR64%12 high-WR traders
Smart FlowSELLbuyers 59% vs sellers 68% WR
Whale Flow
BULLISH45 whales · 183.1K vol
BUY 142.8K
SELL 40.3K
Buy side
78%
Sell side
22%
Order Flow
Buys
78% · 5,670
596.5K
Sells
22% · 2,469
169.9K
Pricesnapshot 0s agoDepth
13.0¢spread 2.0¢
Buy impact
$10014.0¢+0.0
$50014.0¢+0.0
$1K14.0¢+0.0

CrowdIntel is read-only intelligence — orders execute on Polymarket.

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About this market

1,156 whale wallets have traded "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?" on Polymarket, moving $766K in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 8,139 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 78% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to flawfence at $55K. CrowdIntel has flagged 50 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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