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Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?

Polymarket GalaxygeopoliticsActiveWhales NEUTRAL(37)
Volume
2.9M
Traders
1,213
Trades
82,363
Last trade
about 2 hours ago
first 5 months ago
64¢Yes50¢all
whale fills · CrowdIntel-tracked · bars = volumeinsider alertwhale alert
Proven Money
≥20 resolved · ≥70% adj WR · +PnL
Lean NO1 proven wallet · 1.2K buys
YES 0%
NO 100%
Avg Holder WR59%7 high-WR traders
Smart FlowSELLbuyers 56% vs sellers 61% WR
Whale Flow
NEUTRAL37 whales · 73.1K vol
BUY 35.7K
SELL 37.4K
Buy side
49%
Sell side
51%
Order Flow
Buys
60% · 42,867
466.6K
Sells
40% · 39,496
311.5K
Pricesnapshot 0s agoDepth
21.5¢spread 1.0¢
Buy impact
$10022.0¢+0.0
$50023.3¢+1.3
$1K24.9¢+2.9

CrowdIntel is read-only intelligence — orders execute on Polymarket.

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About this market

1,213 whale wallets have traded "Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?" on Polymarket, moving $2.91M in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 82,363 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 60% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.

The largest tracked position belongs to Haradwaith at $19K. CrowdIntel has flagged 42 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.

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