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Iran leadership change by December 31?
Volume
$3,782,870
Total Bets
39457
Unique Traders
4027
Avg Price
49c
Buy / Sell
60%/40%
Alerts
50
Volume Sentiment
YES 2.4M
NO 1.4M
Smart Money Intelligence
Whale Sentiment
NEUTRAL
70 whales
Whale Volume
420.1K
YES 57% / NO 43%
Avg Holder WR
62%
20 with data
First trade: 5 months agoLast: 29 minutes ago
Top Holders (Yes)
1AN
anoin123whale
$198,72954% WR-$5,368,630
2ARArmageddonRewardsBillywhale
$90,42252% WR-$165,658
3MRmr.oziwhale
$83,98271% WR+$565,717
4CLclassifiedwhale
$70,20463% WR+$833,021
5AMAmrosein
$62,81960% WR-$25,947
62020YrsOfBoredomwhale
$57,07743% WR-$1,690
7YUyungstalinwhale
$52,71651% WR+$294,638
8PAParz1vaIwhale
$47,75262% WR+$759,503
9JUjust.some.guy.2026whale
$44,17363% WR+$165,333
10RORoflan-ludomanwhale
$40,20654% WR+$204,718
Top Holders (No)
1AR
ArmageddonRewardsBillywhale
$84,81052% WR-$165,658
2JUjust.some.guy.2026whale
$57,73463% WR+$165,333
3MRmr.oziwhale
$42,13971% WR+$565,717
4STStudentMoneywhale
$33,30770% WR-$49,257
5PAParz1vaIwhale
$31,36062% WR+$759,503
6CLclassifiedwhale
$31,00263% WR+$833,021
7YUyungstalinwhale
$29,30351% WR+$294,638
8LALaurenmanwhale
$27,14189% WR-$62,576
9DEDECREE
$23,53891% WR+$5,370
10RERememberAmalekwhale
$22,74160% WR+$814,288
WalletScoreSideSizeWhen
WalletSidePriceSizeTime
About this market
4,027 whale wallets have traded "Iran leadership change by December 31?" on Polymarket, moving $3.78M in CrowdIntel-tracked volume across 39457 recorded trades. Buy-side orders account for 63% of that volume — a snapshot of how whale capital is positioned, not the market's settled odds.
The largest tracked position belongs to anoin123 at $199K. CrowdIntel has flagged 50 trades on this market as potential insider activity. Every whale, funding source, win rate and PnL figure is traced on-chain from Polygon, so the full trader leaderboard for this market is independently verifiable on CrowdIntel — free, no login required.