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CrowdIntel/ dossier
Issue №088 · Mar 31 · 2026
◆ Cluster intel · crypto
4 wallets.
One hand.
4 wallets funded by 0x4b1a...591b placed 25 bets on crypto markets. 22 of 25 resolved bets won (88%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $17K. Probability of this occurring by chance: <0.001%.
Bayesian win rate
76%
Confidence
88%
Z-score
7.10σ
Cluster PnL
-$11.4K
◆ Cluster highlights
Bucked consensus
0 wins
avg bet $114
◆ Funding map
◆ Wallet roster
| Wallet | Bets | Win rate | CC wins | Streak | PnL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coolbay | 32 | 63% | -$8.9K | |||
| 0xbA94417Cd6259072652dceF32989E21eF2E9d12F-1768054561022 | 8 | 100% | -$2.2K | |||
| 0xcC7dB592a15451bb0f1989ffA0f5ec13D63E161d-1773403758574 | 54 | 67% | +$113 | |||
| 0x52F66D8046B7Cc6a1595eA61C4958ec82B834313-1768353292863 | 54 | 93% | -$395 |
◆ Markets touched
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
C
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO5) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffs
W
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
N
Nuggets vs. Spurs
U
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 20, 2026?