CrowdIntel/ dossier
Issue №085 · Mar 30 · 2026
◆ Cluster intel · corporate
2 wallets.
One hand.
2 wallets funded by 0xf504...e222 placed 94 bets on corporate markets. 91 of 94 resolved bets won (97%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $453K. Probability of this occurring by chance: <0.001%.
Bayesian win rate
96%
Confidence
94%
Z-score
41.97σ
Cluster PnL
+$57.5K
◆ Cluster highlights
Bucked consensus
0 wins
avg bet $1.5K
◆ Funding map
◆ Wallet roster
| Wallet | Bets | Win rate | CC wins | Streak | PnL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6a88…b859 | 157 | 100% | +$35.2K | |||
| products | 145 | 94% | +$22.3K |
◆ Markets touched

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
W
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
W
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

US forces enter Iran by April 30?