Live
Investigations
CrowdIntel/ dossier
Issue №007 · Mar 25 · 2026
◆ Cluster intel · geopolitics

18 wallets.
One hand.

Funded by0xf504…e222· 278 bets · $5.8M routed

Massive cluster of 953 wallets funded by a single address (0xf5042...). 18 of these wallets have 70%+ win rates on geopolitics markets with 3+ geopolitics bets. The top wallet in this cluster has a 100% win rate across 7 resolved bets with $129K in profit, betting exclusively on Iran and Israel military markets. Combined cluster profit exceeds $5.8M. The sheer scale of this network, with nearly a thousand wallets from one funder, combined with the concentration in military and geopolitical markets, makes this one of the most statistically significant clusters in the dataset.

Wallets
18
Win rate
87%
Volume
$5.8M
By chance
<0.01%
Bayesian win rate
86%
Confidence
93%
Z-score
16.68σ
Cluster PnL
-$4.9M
◆ Cluster highlightsDerived from wallet roster
Bucked consensus
63 wins
avg bet $20.9K
◆ Funding mapEdges = funding tx · center = funder
◆ Wallet roster8 linked · click to open dossier
WalletBetsWin rateCC winsStreakPnL
anoin1231292%5 W7-$4.7M
Qulang5553385%8 W17-$173.1K
Uruk6379%12 W8-$41.1K
robota6078%15 W12-$72.3K
0xcdb1…276c20100%4 W8+$65.2K
bigmac9991872%6 W7+$13.6K
0x99dd…430312100%3 W5+$20.9K
0x92a6…8b8460100%10 W20-$4.4K
◆ Markets touchedTop 6 by volume
crowdintel.xyz/investigations/7@CrowdIntelXYZ
Live
Beta
···v0.1.0