2 wallets.
One hand.

Funded by0xf89d…aa40· 441 bets · $718.1K routed

2 wallets funded by 0xf89d...aa40 placed 37 bets on geopolitics markets. 31 of 37 resolved bets won (84%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $718K. Probability of this occurring by chance: <0.001%.

Bayesian win rate

59%

Confidence

96%

Z-score

3.06σ

Cluster PnL

+$1.2M

◆ Cluster highlightsDerived from wallet roster

Bucked consensus

0 wins

avg bet $1.6K

◆ Funding mapEdges = funding tx · center = funder

◆ Wallet roster2 linked · click to open dossier

Wallet	Bets	Win rate	CC wins	Streak	PnL
sbimbg	48	88%			+$122.6K
0x7c3d…5c6b	393	56%			+$1.1M

◆ Markets touchedTop 6 by volume

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

$1.2M routed· 170% of cluster

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

$545.5K routed· 76% of cluster

Will Kamala Harris be inaugurated?

$451.1K routed· 63% of cluster

Will Bitcoin hit $100k in November?

$233.8K routed· 33% of cluster

Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

$223.1K routed· 31% of cluster

Spread: Heat (-9.5)

$223.1K routed· 31% of cluster

Live

Beta

···v0.1.0