CrowdIntel/ dossier
Issue №049 · Mar 25 · 2026
◆ Cluster intel · geopolitics
2 wallets.
One hand.
2 wallets funded by 0x0000...0000 placed 17 bets on geopolitics markets. 15 of 17 resolved bets won (88%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $917K. Probability of this occurring by chance: 0.117%.
Bayesian win rate
64%
Confidence
86%
Z-score
2.95σ
Cluster PnL
+$1.4M
◆ Cluster highlights
Bucked consensus
0 wins
avg bet $7.3K
◆ Funding map
◆ Wallet roster
| Wallet | Bets | Win rate | CC wins | Streak | PnL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| scottilicious | 72 | 63% | +$1.5M | |||
| tsekinming01 | 53 | 68% | -$123.1K |
◆ Markets touched

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Will Donald Trump win the popular vote in the 2024 Presidential Election?

Will a Democrat win Arizona US Senate Election?

US forces enter Iran by April 30?