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Issue №047 · Mar 25 · 2026
◆ Cluster intel · geopolitics

2 wallets.
One hand.

Funded by0x1440…3f9e· 97 bets · $524.4K routed

2 wallets funded by 0x1440...3f9e placed 38 bets on geopolitics markets. 34 of 38 resolved bets won (89%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $524K. Probability of this occurring by chance: <0.001%.

Wallets
2
Win rate
88%
Volume
$524.4K
By chance
<0.01%
Bayesian win rate
86%
Confidence
83%
Z-score
10.03σ
Cluster PnL
-$8.5K
◆ Cluster highlightsDerived from wallet roster
Bucked consensus
0 wins
avg bet $5.4K
◆ Funding mapEdges = funding tx · center = funder
◆ Wallet roster2 linked · click to open dossier
WalletBetsWin rateCC winsStreakPnL
0x80eb…5bfc2990%-$8.6K
0x21ec…73076887%+$109
◆ Markets touchedTop 6 by volume
I
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings
$115.5K routed· 22% of cluster
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kings
$106.5K routed· 20% of cluster
U
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
$88.7K routed· 17% of cluster
U
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
$65.1K routed· 12% of cluster
I
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers
$51.1K routed· 10% of cluster
U
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
$48.2K routed· 9% of cluster
crowdintel.xyz/investigations/47@CrowdIntelXYZ
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