CrowdIntel/ dossier
Issue №030 · Mar 25 · 2026
◆ Cluster intel · finance
3 wallets.
One hand.
3 wallets funded by 0xf504...e222 placed 38 bets on finance markets. 37 of 38 resolved bets won (97%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $320K. Probability of this occurring by chance: <0.001%.
Bayesian win rate
85%
Confidence
91%
Z-score
12.95σ
Cluster PnL
+$436.0K
◆ Cluster highlights
Bucked consensus
0 wins
avg bet $1.6K
◆ Funding map
◆ Wallet roster
| Wallet | Bets | Win rate | CC wins | Streak | PnL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CamelUp | 89 | 69% | +$262.8K | |||
| xx.eth | 7 | 100% | +$4.9K | |||
| 0xf915…8720 | 98 | 100% | +$168.3K |
◆ Markets touched

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
W
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
W
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

US forces enter Iran by April 30?