5 wallets.
One hand.

Funded by0xf504…e222· 208 bets · $348.3K routed

5 wallets funded by 0xf504...e222 placed 57 bets on us-politics markets. 56 of 57 resolved bets won (98%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $348K. Probability of this occurring by chance: <0.001%.

Bayesian win rate

95%

Confidence

91%

Z-score

29.94σ

Cluster PnL

+$96.3K

◆ Cluster highlightsDerived from wallet roster

Bucked consensus

0 wins

avg bet $1.7K

◆ Funding mapEdges = funding tx · center = funder

◆ Wallet roster5 linked · click to open dossier

Wallet	Bets	Win rate	PnL
zerosixtynine	16	94%	+$2.5K
Lolakis	14	86%	+$19.6K
venezuelain	31	97%	+$2.2K
0xf915…8720	98	100%	+$168.3K
0x2d4c…2e02	49	92%	-$96.3K

◆ Markets touchedTop 6 by volume

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

$3.0M routed· 874% of cluster

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$2.7M routed· 770% of cluster

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

$2.7M routed· 767% of cluster

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

$1.2M routed· 333% of cluster

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

$959.4K routed· 275% of cluster

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

$711.3K routed· 204% of cluster

Live

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