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Investigations
CrowdIntel/ dossier
Issue №019 · Mar 25 · 2026
◆ Cluster intel · crypto
16 wallets.
One hand.
16 wallets funded by 0x1929...d215 placed 228 bets on crypto markets. 222 of 228 resolved bets won (97%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $990K. Probability of this occurring by chance: <0.001%.
Bayesian win rate
91%
Confidence
97%
Z-score
34.31σ
Cluster PnL
+$202.7K
◆ Cluster highlights
Bucked consensus
0 wins
avg bet $1.5K
◆ Funding map
◆ Wallet roster
| Wallet | Bets | Win rate | CC wins | Streak | PnL | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x6916…2fd4 | 40 | 75% | +$364.6K | |||
| 0xDB5 | 65 | 83% | +$82.9K | |||
| 0x7e45…5b61 | 65 | 65% | -$247.8K | |||
| 0x64db…9a6f | 210 | 100% | +$4.4K | |||
| 0x2423…4137 | 14 | 93% | -$5.7K | |||
| CaptainX | 7 | 43% | -$14.9K | |||
| 0x2ccc…cd45 | 93 | 96% | -$659 | |||
| 0x77e7…88ad | 46 | 100% | +$10.4K | |||
| bearstodamoon | 33 | 100% | +$2.0K | |||
| 0x91df…68c1 | 8 | 100% | -$3.3K | |||
| CHINANO1 | 15 | 80% | -$78 | |||
| Mignon | 9 | 100% | +$8.4K | |||
| DOWNbet | 19 | 100% | +$2.1K | |||
| dkdldbTlqqhwl | 11 | 100% | +$433 | |||
| Varocoin01 | 9 | 89% | +$912 | |||
| 0xe90d…4db8 | 10 | 90% | -$888 |
◆ Markets touched
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?