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CrowdIntel/ dossier

Issue №016 · Mar 25 · 2026

◆ Cluster intel · geopolitics

27 wallets.
One hand.

Funded by0x1929…d215· 1300 bets · $10.6M routed

27 wallets funded by 0x1929...d215 placed 475 bets on geopolitics markets. 439 of 475 resolved bets won (92%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $10.6M. Probability of this occurring by chance: <0.001%.

Bayesian win rate

88%

Confidence

98%

Z-score

38.98σ

Cluster PnL

+$2.4M

◆ Cluster highlightsDerived from wallet roster

Bucked consensus

0 wins

avg bet $8.1K

◆ Funding mapEdges = funding tx · center = funder

◆ Wallet roster27 linked · click to open dossier

Wallet	Bets	Win rate	PnL
0xc8ab…6418	163	87%	+$577.5K
0xcc8f…a7bb	130	97%	-$238.7K
0x24de…83cb	17	94%	+$23.9K
Pestle	10	80%	+$142.9K
vvvvvllllllvvvvv	40	95%	+$100.4K
0x4818…fde0	77	65%	-$44.7K
0xa43d…df8e	6	100%	+$24.0K
BlueBase-568	31	77%	+$40.8K
0x06c0…bc23	38	100%	+$50.6K
0x4047…7293	22	95%	+$291.4K
gnose	84	76%	+$12.3K
richerZ	85	95%	-$82.9K
CaptainCoinflip	14	93%	+$41.5K
adonpoli	6	100%	+$15.9K
0x7e31…454d	15	93%	+$37.7K
0xea22…747a	30	90%	+$14.5K
Artemion	9	89%	-$14.0K
0x58f8…dc70	55	95%	+$250.9K
0xeb22…808a	25	60%	+$92.9K
loser326	16	69%	-$625
Simmelariii	48	100%	-$18.0K
0x4d51…4946	91	100%	+$5.9K
HolyMoses7	11	64%	+$137.6K
vinii	22	86%	+$16.0K
0xe8dd…ec86	242	84%	+$672.0K
b3tm0re	6	83%	-$11.4K
0x22e4…ef1c	7	86%	+$269.1K