CrowdIntel/ dossier
Issue №117 · Apr 21 · 2026
◆ Solo whale · geopolitics
100% WR
iran markets
Anonymous Polymarket wallet 0x9507...7b04 opened Dec 31 2025. Global track record: 6 wins in 159 resolved bets (3.8% WR). On iran markets: 31/31 resolved wins (100% WR), $687K volume, +$2K clean. Multi-date-specific calls (Iran military action vs Israel March 23: 3/3, $126K; Strait of Hormuz by March 31: 3/3, $187K; Iran strike Israel March 3: 1/1, $75K). +96pp edge vs global WR on one scope. p-value < 0.01%.
◆ Markets touched



