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Issue №116 · Apr 21 · 2026
Solo whale · geopolitics

80% WR
iran markets

Wallet0x7c3d…5c6b· 87 resolved bets · $160.0K routed

@Car (wallet 0x7c3d…5c6b) is 30% WR across 393 resolved Polymarket markets — but 70/87 = 80% WR on iran-specific resolved bets. +50pp edge on one topic. $160K routed, +$11K clean on iran. Cleanest kill: 7/7 on "Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?" — $62K volume. 14 active iran positions, all in the green. p-value < 0.01%.

80%
Scope WR
87
Scope bets
+$10.7K
Scope PnL
<0.01%
By chance
◆ Markets touchedTop 6 by volume in scope
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