CrowdIntel/ dossier
Issue №116 · Apr 21 · 2026
◆ Solo whale · geopolitics
80% WR
iran markets
@Car (wallet 0x7c3d…5c6b) is 30% WR across 393 resolved Polymarket markets — but 70/87 = 80% WR on iran-specific resolved bets. +50pp edge on one topic. $160K routed, +$11K clean on iran. Cleanest kill: 7/7 on "Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?" — $62K volume. 14 active iran positions, all in the green. p-value < 0.01%.
◆ Markets touched

