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Issue №111 · Apr 18 · 2026
◆ Cluster intel · us-politics

3 wallets.
One hand.

Funded by0x1440…3f9e· 25 bets · $311.3K routed

3 wallets funded by 0x1440...3f9e placed 25 bets on us-politics markets. 21 of 25 resolved bets won (84%). Average entry odds: 50%. Total volume: $311K. Probability of this occurring by chance: 0.046%.

Wallets
3
Win rate
88%
Volume
$311.3K
By chance
0.046%
Bayesian win rate
83%
Confidence
56%
Z-score
4.53σ
Cluster PnL
-$3.9K
◆ Cluster highlightsDerived from wallet roster
Bucked consensus
0 wins
avg bet $12.5K
◆ Funding mapEdges = funding tx · center = funder
◆ Wallet roster3 linked · click to open dossier
WalletBetsWin rateCC winsStreakPnL
invokerr7100%-$251
Juliano.b1486%+$600
0x0562…9d66475%-$4.2K
◆ Markets touchedTop 6 by volume
I
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kings
$115.5K routed· 37% of cluster
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Chennai Super Kings
$106.5K routed· 34% of cluster
U
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
$88.7K routed· 28% of cluster
U
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
$65.1K routed· 21% of cluster
I
Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Clemson Tigers
$51.1K routed· 16% of cluster
U
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
$48.2K routed· 15% of cluster
crowdintel.xyz/investigations/111@CrowdIntelXYZ
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