CrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №9779
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-9779-25 · Mar 30, 03:27 AM
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?
Why this alert fired
Scored 25/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 15 resolved bets, 80% win rate, +$1.1M lifetime PnL. Bet placed buy on No at 26¢.
Signal breakdown
Counter-consensus bet
+25
Category
+10
Cluster Discount
-10
How it resolved
Final outcome
Yes
Alert prediction
LOST
Resolved
Apr 8, 2026
Funding cluster
Funded by 0xb03e…56cb — this wallet shares its funder with 1093 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$4.5M.
More from this wallet
crowdintel.xyz