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CrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №4781
geopolitics
Case file · CI-4781-25 · Mar 29, 08:01 PM

US forces enter Iran by March 31?

SELL@ 14¢·$280·0x8df9…468cunknown
25
Insider score
100%
Wallet win rate
5
Resolved bets
+$25.1K
Lifetime PnL
Why this alert fired

Scored 25/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 5 resolved bets, 100% win rate, +$25.1K lifetime PnL. Bet placed sell on Yes at 14¢.

Signal breakdown
Counter-consensus bet
+25
Category
+10
Cluster Discount
-10
How it resolved
Final outcome
No
Alert prediction
LOST
Resolved
Apr 5, 2026
Funding cluster
Funded by 0xabb2…cd10 — this wallet shares its funder with 3621 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$4.5M.
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