CrowdIntelCrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №3170
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-3170-25 · Mar 26, 12:06 AM
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
Why this alert fired
Scored 25/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 1 resolved bets, 100% win rate, +$12.1K lifetime PnL. Bet placed sell on Yes at 13¢.
Signal breakdown
Counter-consensus bet
+25
Category
+10
Cluster Discount
-10
How it resolved
Final outcome
No
Alert prediction
LOST
Resolved
Apr 1, 2026
Funding cluster
Funded by 0xf70d…dbef — this wallet shares its funder with 131830 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$56.1M.
More from this wallet
crowdintel.xyz