US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?

BUY@ 14¢·$860·0xa022…77f8whale

Why this alert fired

Scored 30/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 17 resolved bets, 65% win rate, +$391.6K lifetime PnL. Bet placed buy on Yes at 14¢.

Signal breakdown

Counter Consensus Depth

+35

Negative Pnl

-20

Skill Z Boost

+15

How it resolved

Final outcome

Alert prediction

LOST

Resolved

May 16, 2026

Funding cluster

Funded by 0x7525…cde1 — this wallet shares its funder with 2 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$391.6K.