Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

BUY@ 10¢·$135·0xfe78…0319whale

Why this alert fired

Scored 25/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 456 resolved bets, 51% win rate, +$1.0M lifetime PnL. Bet placed buy on Yes at 10¢.

Signal breakdown

Counter Consensus Depth

+35

Infra Cluster Discount

-25

Skill Z Boost

+15

How it resolved

Final outcome

Alert prediction

LOST

Resolved

Jul 7, 2026

Funding cluster

Funded by 0xf70d…dbef — this wallet shares its funder with 645501 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$35.7M.