US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

SELL@ 18¢·$9.0K·0x1cc1…b8dfunknown

Why this alert fired

Scored 25/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 50 resolved bets, 56% win rate, +$171.8K lifetime PnL. Bet placed sell on Yes at 18¢.

Signal breakdown

Counter-consensus bet

+25

Category

+10

Cluster Discount

-10

How it resolved

Final outcome

Alert prediction

LOST

Resolved

Apr 1, 2026

Funding cluster

Funded by 0xcb39…8bc6 — this wallet shares its funder with 15276 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$10.5M.