CrowdIntelCrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №293309
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-293309-40 · Jul 5, 08:41 PM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 22, 2026?
Why this alert fired
Scored 40/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 38 resolved bets, 76% win rate, +$1.3M lifetime PnL. Bet placed buy on Yes at 24¢.
Signal breakdown
Counter Consensus Depth
+25
Skill Z Boost
+15
How it resolved
Final outcome
No
Alert prediction
LOST
Resolved
May 23, 2026
Funding cluster
Funded by 0x4776…927d — this wallet shares its funder with 4 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$1.5M.
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