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CrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №278435
geopolitics
Case file · CI-278435-25 · Jul 4, 06:13 PM

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?

SELL@ 29¢·$233·0xa82b…5220whale
25
Insider score
50%
Wallet win rate
42
Resolved bets
+$76.3K
Lifetime PnL
Why this alert fired

Scored 25/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 42 resolved bets, 50% win rate, +$76.3K lifetime PnL. Bet placed sell on Yes at 29¢.

Signal breakdown
Counter Consensus Depth
+25
How it resolved
Final outcome
Yes
Alert prediction
WON
Resolved
May 9, 2026
Funding cluster
Funded by 0x0afe…2b28 — this wallet shares its funder with 3 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$76.3K.
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