CrowdIntelCrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №262486
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-262486-25 · Jul 2, 08:06 AM
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 15, 2026?
Why this alert fired
Scored 25/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 302 resolved bets, 64% win rate, -$27 lifetime PnL. Bet placed sell on Yes at 28¢.
Signal breakdown
Counter-consensus trade
+25
How it resolved
Final outcome
No
Alert prediction
LOST
Resolved
May 16, 2026
Funding cluster
Funded by 0x5f22…afb1 — this wallet shares its funder with 1 other wallets.
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