CrowdIntelCrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №24252
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-24252-25 · Apr 19, 03:51 PM
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?
Why this alert fired
Scored 25/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 22 resolved bets, 82% win rate, +$167.0K lifetime PnL. Bet placed buy on Yes at 100¢.
Signal breakdown
Investigation Boost
+30
High Odds Penalty
-15
Bet size
+10
Funding cluster
Funded by 0xcb39…8bc6 — this wallet shares its funder with 15276 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$10.5M.
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