Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 18, 2026?

SELL@ 100¢·$214.7K·0x7c3d…5c6bwhale

Why this alert fired

Scored 31/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 393 resolved bets, 56% win rate, +$1.1M lifetime PnL. Bet placed sell on Yes at 100¢.

Signal breakdown

Investigation Boost

+26

Bet size

+20

High Odds Penalty

-15

Funding cluster

Funded by 0xf89d…aa40 — this wallet shares its funder with 4741 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$5.3M.