CrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №22294
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-22294-44 · Apr 17, 01:03 PM
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Why this alert fired
Scored 44/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 10 resolved bets, 100% win rate, -$171.0K lifetime PnL. Bet placed sell on No at 99¢.
Signal breakdown
Investigation Boost
+39
High Odds Penalty
-15
Category
+10
Bet size
+10
How it resolved
Final outcome
No
Alert prediction
WON
Resolved
May 1, 2026
Funding cluster
Funded by 0xf70d…dbef — this wallet shares its funder with 645459 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$35.5M.
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