CrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №21784
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-21784-44 · Apr 16, 07:34 PM
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by June 30, 2026?
Why this alert fired
Scored 44/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 12 resolved bets, 100% win rate, +$36.5K lifetime PnL. Bet placed buy on Yes at 100¢.
Signal breakdown
Investigation Boost
+39
High Odds Penalty
-15
Category
+10
Bet size
+10
Funding cluster
Funded by 0xf70d…dbef — this wallet shares its funder with 131830 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$56.1M.
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