Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?

SELL@ 31¢·$1.3K·0xde7b…5f4binsider

Why this alert fired

Scored 64/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 10 resolved bets, 20% win rate, +$181.8K lifetime PnL. Bet placed sell on Yes at 31¢.

Signal breakdown

Investigation Boost

+39

Counter-consensus trade

+25

Funding cluster

Funded by 0xf70d…dbef — this wallet shares its funder with 131799 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$56.1M.