CrowdIntel/ Insider dispatch
Issue №16920
geopolitics
◆ Case file · CI-16920-114 · Apr 8, 06:22 PM
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 30, 2026?
Why this alert fired
Scored 114/100 on the insider suspicion model. Wallet has 14 resolved bets, 86% win rate, +$19.6K lifetime PnL. Bet placed buy on No at 65¢.
Signal breakdown
Counter-consensus proven
+40
Investigation Boost
+39
Uncertain win rate boost
+25
Category
+10
Funding cluster
Funded by 0xf504…e222 — this wallet shares its funder with 9928 other wallets. Cluster lifetime PnL: +$12.2M.
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